The Players’ Edge: Giants +6 vs Niners

John Fennelly , Lead Writer

The Giants (3-2) travel to San Francisco to play the 4-1 49ers. The Niners are favored by 6 1/2 points. The over/under is 46.

The last time these two met, the Giants took advantage of the Niners’ special teams failures and advanced to the Super Bowl on a FG in OT. They also played in early November, with the Niners stopping the Giants int he red zone in final seconds, 27-20.

Before we get into the numbers, let’s review a few things that we know. The Giants need to be at critical mass to play their best football. They also play better on the road. They really play their best when no one gives them a chance.

San Francisco still has that killer defense, but now they have a high-powered offense to go with it. The Giants’ secondary has been struggling to keep up with the league’s most modest receiving corps. The Niners will throw Randy Moss, Mario Manningham, Michael Crabtree and Vernon Davis at them.

To the Giants’ credit they are familiar with the speed of the Niners’ play. They should also getting some key players back: WR Hakeem Nicks, OL David Diehl and CB Jayron Hosley. In regards to solving to Davis dilemma, the Giants now have two LBs that can run with him: Jacquian Williams and Keith Rivers.

The keys to hanging with San Francisco are obvious: protect QB Eli Manning; stop the Niners’ rushing attack and run the ball themselves. They have surely been watching film from the Niners’ loss to Minnesota. In that game, the Vikings stuck with the run on offense until San Francisco bended to their will. The Giants have yet to show they can do that to anyone.

Minnesota also has Chad Greenway at LB, a hard-hitting run-stopper who hammered Frank Gore all afternoon and held San Fran to 89 yards rushing. The Giants have more of a finesse back seven, so someone has to come out of their skin and make something happen.

The Giants have Ahmad Bradshaw coming off the best performance of his career. He is chomping at the bit to show the world last Sunday was no fluke. With Andre Brown out, rookie David Wilson and Da’Rel Scott could be x-factors here with their breakaway speed.

If you are playing this game, and are buying into the Niner Nation propaganda, please don’t forget that Eli Manning is Mr. October. Even if the Niners take control of this game, Eli has the ability to stick a garbage-time TD in on you to spoil the cover…..

Trends (courtesy Covers.com)

Giants are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

  • are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
  • are 8-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
  • are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
  • are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
  • are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games in October.

49ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in October.

  • are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.